FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%
Nein 92%Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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379,4 €
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
This event predicts whether the United States will officially establish a new federal regulatory body whose primary purpose is AI oversight by December 31, 2026.
- For this market, “creating a new regulatory body” means a legally binding action (e.g., federal legislation or an executive order) that forms a distinct government body with authority to create, implement, and enforce AI-related regulations/standards in the United States, including mechanisms such as review/approval requirements and enforcement penalties.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official text of the relevant U.S. law or executive action and the corresponding official U.S. government announcement.
- If, on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. government formally establishes such a distinct federal AI regulatory body (as defined above), this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Expanding the mandate of an existing agency does not qualify unless the action clearly establishes a distinct new body for AI oversight with the described enforcement remit; if a borderline case arises (e.g., an explicitly designated interim/preparatory body), Futuur will apply the market’s intent.
