KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,8 €
Open Interest
1379,9 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
4. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2028
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill the US create a new regulatory body for AI oversight in 2026?
FutuurWill the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US create a universal Healthcare system by EOY 2030?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The White HouseU.S. Department of CommerceNational Institute of Standards and TechnologyAssociated PressReuters
- For this market, a qualifying establishment must be adopted through a law, executive order, regulation, or other binding official act, or unconditionally announced by the President, an authorized Cabinet official, or another authorized U.S. government body. A new body or formally designated existing body qualifies only if a binding official action grants it primary nationwide, cross-sector AI rulemaking, licensing, supervisory, or enforcement authority comparable in substance to a national regulator, or if an unconditional official announcement commits to granting it such authority, including when that authority will take effect later. The body's name or form does not control: a council, office, standards body, or SRO qualifies if one identifiable body receives those powers. A body that only advises, coordinates, studies, tests, sets voluntary standards, conducts one-off reviews, or has only sector-specific authority does not qualify. Distributed sector-by-sector authority does not qualify.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
