Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FedOne-OffPolitikEuropaZentralbanken2Mon
FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 68%
Ja 68%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
959,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
10
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Regeln
This event predicts whether Christine Lagarde will remain in office as President of the European Central Bank (ECB) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official European Central Bank press releases or European Council announcements confirming the ECB presidency.
- If Christine Lagarde officially remains ECB President through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If she resigns, is replaced, or otherwise ceases to hold the presidency before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of official confirmation, regardless of caretaker arrangements.
- If official ECB records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major European news organizations.
