PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 90%-4.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
66 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺52,4 B
Likidite
₺154,3 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
9.0% / 11.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
3
7g Değişim
+2.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Nis 26 22:25 UTC31 Mar 27 00:00 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt79.2%
- No change-2.0pt19.8%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺376,1 Mn
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺168,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺357,9 B
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.2%+18.0pt99%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,8 Mn
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺36,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺260,7 B
KALSHI2026: Trump's dream year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.1pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺28,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺233,4 B
- Recession in 2027?
- US recession by end of 2026?
- Recession this year?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Unemployment in September
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- How many jobs added in September?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
- September Unemployment Rate
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- UK Recession in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 14 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- UK Recession in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- UK Recession in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Mart 2027.
- UK Recession in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.