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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketKurallar
Will resolve YES if the unemployment rate reaches 10% or higher at any point between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Will resolve NO otherwise, after data for the whole period has been made public.
- May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028.
- On the other hand, if for example the 2028 election gets delayed and is still referred to as the 2028 election but occurs in 2029, it will not resolve as N/A and be extended until the actual election occurs.
- Source used for resolution: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
- Screenshot showing data up to November 2023 for reference: