Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 16:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 85.6%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Ağu 26 18:54 UTC1 Oca 40 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAt least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if two distinct Millennium Prize Problems have solving dates no more than 365 days apart, and both solving dates occur before the market close.
- A problem's solving date is the earliest date on which a complete and correct solution was publicly available online.
- Correctness may be established retrospectively; subsequent recognition, peer review, or verification does not change the solving date.
- More clarifications:
- A claimed solution containing a substantive mathematical gap does not count.