KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before 2040 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before 2040 42.5%5 seçenek arasında lider
Before 2040 42.5%Piyasa kalitesi
29 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$213,2
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before 2040Spread
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Piyasa verileri
26 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eyl 26 22:00 UTC7 Oca 28 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before 2040
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Washington PostThe EconomistSciencethe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReutersScientific American
- For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP Problem, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time: A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals. A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before 2040
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2040 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2035
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2035 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.
