Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 55%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli27 Eki 24 07:16 UTC31 Ara 00 16:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
KalshiWhen will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
KalshiWill P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
Manifold MarketsWill any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhen will P vs NP be resolved?
KalshiKurallar
If this question is resolve as “No” but you vote “No” what would the answer then?
- But if this question resolve as “Yes” but then it will be “No”?
- Is this a paradox?
- I don’t know, which is why I’m making a manifold question to see how the internet collectively solve this paradox, feel free to suggest the answer, but I already have one in my mind…
Açık piyasalar
Science
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.7pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.8pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15,2 Mn
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.4pt77%
- No23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺68 B
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+2.0pt34%
- Above 1+4.0pt18%
- Above 2-2.0pt4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
- US solar capacity installed in 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will this question be resolved as “No”? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Will this question be resolved as “No”? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will this question be resolved as “No”? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 3000.
- Will this question be resolved as “No”? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If this question is resolve as “No” but you vote “No” what would the answer then?