Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 98.6%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Ağu 25 09:10 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
KalshiWhen will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
KalshiWhen will P vs NP be resolved?
KalshiWill formal verification become "mainstream" before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill "Lies, Damned Lies, and Proofs: Formal Methods..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Market will be resolved to Yes if at least one of the open problems from DeepMind's formal-conjectures gets decided before 2027.
- Only problems which is added to the main branch of the repository before the creation of this market will be considered.
- The problem should have 'open' tag and should be completely proven via Lean
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%-1.0pt97%
- Above 2.65%+32.0pt94%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba70%
- Moonshot-6.0pt14%
- Z.ai-0.3pt6%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.0pt85.4%
- Moonshot-2.8pt9.7%
- Z.ai-0.1pt1.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+1.0pt13%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+1.0pt84%
- November 30,+8.0pt81%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Market will be resolved to Yes if at least one of the open problems from DeepMind's formal-conjectures gets decided before 2027.