Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033?
JeopolitikYZOne-OffEuropeRegülasyonChinaPolitika7yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 76.8%
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6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Mar 26 14:41 UTC31 Ara 33 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2034, there is a formal, publicly announced international agreement or coordinated policy that constitutes a moratorium on frontier AGI development, meeting the criteria below.
- The concept of “moratorium” here refers to a halt or prohibition on training or deploying frontier AI systems at or beyond certain established threshold (may it be capabilies, scale, speed, or something else meanigfully correlated with general capabilities), combined with serious enforcement mechanisms, not merely voluntary guidelines or safety recommendations.
- Core Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if ALL of the following conditions are met:
- Substance: Actual Moratorium
- A policy, treaty, or coordinated set of national policies explicitly aims to:
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2033.
- Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2034, there is a formal, publicly announced international agreement or coordinated policy that constitutes a moratorium on frontier AGI development, meeting the criteria below.