Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?
InflationOne-OffMacro & Economy2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.8%
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Guncelligini yitirmis2 Eyl 26 19:55 UTC31 Ağu 29 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
Manifold MarketsWill US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?
KalshiWill the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 50,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExADP employment change in Nov 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if the first published seasonally adjusted August 2029 value of FRED series LNS12300060 (Employment-Population Ratio – 25–54 Yrs.) is below 50.0%.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- We will use the first published value for August 2029, ignoring subsequent revisions.
- If no August 2029 value has been published by December 31, 2029, the bet is void and this market will be canceled.
- (This market tracks a charity bet between Andy McKenzie and Jeff Kaufman. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BQksdkrtXDbr3CtoE/ai-tweets?commentId=ZbgAGmbcnKZWtsgh6)
Açık piyasalar
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺90,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,6 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes70.3%
- No29.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺425,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺391 B
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 86% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ağustos 2029.
- Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if the first published seasonally adjusted August 2029 value of FRED series LNS12300060 (Employment-Population Ratio – 25–54 Yrs.) is below 50.0%.