In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%?
One-OffYZMacro & Economy17yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 52%
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KalshiKurallar
As per the Twitter debate between Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) and Daniel Colson (@DanielColson6), this question - which was suggested by Daniel - looks to measure the impact of AI on jobs in the US.
- The data used to close the question to yes or no will be FRED's Employment Population Ratio 25-54 yrs. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12300060
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Sık sorulan sorular
- In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2043.
- In 20 years, will the employment:population ratio for prime-age Americans be below 70%? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As per the Twitter debate between Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) and Daniel Colson (@DanielColson6), this question - which was suggested by Daniel - looks to measure the impact of AI on jobs in the US.