Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
InflationCustomEquitiesBusiness & Corporate3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 69.2%
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1
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Play-money forecasting platform
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1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli14 May 26 13:01 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio, commonly known as the Shiller P/E ratio, reaches a value higher than its previous all-time high at any point before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- The primary source for verification will be the data provided by the following website: https://shillerdata.com/.
- The Shiller P/E, or CAPE ratio, is a valuation measure usually applied to the S&P 500 index.
- It is defined as the price of the index divided by the average of ten years of earnings, adjusted for inflation.
Açık piyasalar
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺90,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,6 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes70.3%
- No29.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺425,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺391 B
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 69% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria