Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 55.9%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Mar 25 18:05 UTC31 Ara 39 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
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PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketKOSPI all-time high before 2028?
PolymarketWill the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.
- Only closing prices will be considered.
- For example:
- The S&P 500 current closing ATH is 6,144.15.
- If it falls below 3072.28 (50% drop) at any point before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
- If the S&P 500 reaches a new ATH (e.g., 10,000) and then falls below 5,000 (50% drop from that new ATH) before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2039.
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.
