Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 81.5%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Ara 22 04:35 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026
FutuurAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?
Manifold MarketsUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
According to https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺86,4 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-3.0pt58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,3 B
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes22%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺409,3 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺371,4 B
- Recession this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 82% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: According to https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S