Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
One-OffMacro & EconomyEkonomiInflation7gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 64%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Haz 26 09:20 UTC16 Eyl 26 12:25 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
KalshiUS retail sales in August
KalshiUK retail sales in August
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves YES if the initial U.S. Census Bureau Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release for August 2026 reports that headline U.S. retail and food services sales rose 0.5% or more month-over-month.
- Use the advance estimate for total retail and food services sales for August 2026, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences but not for price changes.
- Resolve YES if the seasonally adjusted percent change from July 2026 to August 2026 is +0.5% or higher.
- Resolve NO if that change is +0.4% or lower.
- Do not use retail inventories, Monthly Retail Trade Report later-release figures, inflation-adjusted/real sales, CPI, PPI, PCE, retail-trade-only excluding food services, subsector rows, year-over-year change, or later annual revisions unless Census corrects the initial August 2026 advance retail-sales release before resolution.
- If the August 2026 Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report is delayed, wait for the first Census release of the August 2026 advance retail-sales figure unless there is no Census August 2026 advance retail-sales release by September 23, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"april_2026_advance_sales": "$757.1 billion", "april_2026_mom": 0.5, "april_2026_yoy": 4.9, "july_2026_release_schedule": "July 2026 advance retail report scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 08:30 Eastern.", "june_2026_release_schedule": "June 2026 advance retail report scheduled for 2026-07-16 at 08:30 Eastern.", "march_2026_mom_revised": 1.6, "may_2026_release_schedule": "May 2026 advance retail report scheduled for 2026-06-17 at 08:30 Eastern.", "release": "Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, April 2026"}, "metric": "Headline U.S. retail and food services sales, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday/trading-day differences but not price changes, month-over-month from July 2026 to August 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["The existing May, June, and July 2026 advance retail-sales markets are prior-reference-month markets, not August duplicates.", "Retail inventories, business inventories, CPI, PPI, PCE, payrolls, unemployment, and recession markets use different releases or criteria.", "Monthly Retail Trade Report sales/inventories later-release markets are not duplicates of the initial Advance Monthly Retail Trade release."], "release_schedule": "Census retail release schedule lists the August 2026 Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report for 2026-09-16 at 08:30 Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial U.S. Census Bureau Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release for August 2026", "threshold": "+0.5% month-over-month or higher"}.
Açık piyasalar
Macro & EconomyKALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-21.0pt27%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-1.0pt8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺917,4 B
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺839,9 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺839,9 B
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+5.0pt86%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 64% fiyatlıyor.
- Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Eylül 2026.
- Will August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if the initial U.S. Census Bureau Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release for August 2026 reports that headline U.S. retail and food services sales rose 0.5% or more month-over-month.