Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 55.3%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Haz 26 07:17 UTC11 Eyl 26 12:25 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsCore CPI MoM - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that core CPI-U rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
- Use the all-items less food and energy Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), BLS series CUSR0000SA0L1E, and the seasonally adjusted percent change from July 2026 to August 2026 in the first BLS August 2026 CPI release.
- Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month change is 0.2% or lower.
- Do not use headline CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, not-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial August 2026 release before resolution.
- If the August 2026 CPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the August 2026 figure unless there is no BLS August 2026 CPI release by September 18, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"core_cpi_u_may_2026_mom_sa": 0.2, "headline_cpi_u_may_2026_mom_sa": 0.5, "headline_cpi_u_may_2026_yoy": 4.2, "note": "At creation time, June/July/August 2026 CPI releases were still future releases.
- The latest official CPI release available was May 2026.", "release": "Consumer Price Index, May 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted all-items less food and energy CPI-U percent change from July 2026 to August 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May, June, and July 2026 CPI markets are different reference-month markets.", "Headline CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE inflation, PPI, and real-earnings markets are not duplicates.", "Calendar-year inflation markets are not duplicates of a single-month core CPI-U MoM threshold."], "release_schedule": "BLS's CPI release schedule lists the August 2026 reference month for Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:30 Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for August 2026", "series": "CUSR0000SA0L1E", "source_fetch_caveat": "Official BLS pages were verified via web/search tooling before creation; BLS pages can return HTTP 403 or time out from raw Python requests on this host.", "threshold": "+0.3% month-over-month or higher"}.
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Eylül 2026.
- Will August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that core CPI-U rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.