PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 87.1%-0.5pt
Piyasa kalitesi
42 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺4,8 B
Likidite
₺18 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
9.0% / 16.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+3.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Kas 25 19:56 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketUS credit rating downgrade in 2026?
KalshiWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketWill S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027?
Manifold MarketsAre Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑
Manifold MarketsWill avg rate of change of US debt(as % of current debt)have higher YoY increase during Trump's presidency than Biden's?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Açık piyasalar
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺570,8 B
KALSHISOFR for September 8, 2026
- Exactly 3.65%32%
- Exactly 3.64%31.2%
- 3.66% or Above25.6%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺343,6 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺343,6 B
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.21% or above99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺164,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺164,8 B
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-17.5pt59%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.91%+3.0pt26%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-4.5pt77%
- Below 4.73%+3.5pt68%
- Below 4.70%-27.5pt42%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-0.6pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Another US debt downgrade before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Another US debt downgrade before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Another US debt downgrade before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Another US debt downgrade before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.