Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?
PolitikaJeopolitikOne-OffSporUS PoliticsChessMiddle East3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 69.6%
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18
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Play-money forecasting platform
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12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Eki 25 02:41 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States conducts a nuclear weapons test before January 1, 2030.
- A nuclear test is defined as any explosive nuclear detonation, whether underground, underwater, or in the atmosphere.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of Energy, Department of Defense, or credible international monitoring sources such as the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO).
- The market resolves NO if no such test occurs by the deadline.
- The last underground nuclear test occurred on September 23, 1992.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria