Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?
JeopolitikOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 86.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Gecikmeli12 Ağu 23 10:19 UTC1 Oca 27 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
I ( @EvanDaniel ) am taking over this market from an inactive creator.
- It's poorly defined, I'll do my best with it.
- Nuclear weapon test: a nuclear weapon includes a nuclear explosion, not just a reactor.
- It is something where the majority of the energy release comes from fission or fusion reactions, not chemical.
- In other words, atom bombs or hydrogen bombs, but not nuclear-propelled aircraft, ships, cruise missiles, etc. and not dirty bombs. "Test" would include failed tests, so in this case it's whether that was the (apparent) intended result; a fizzle or other failure would count as a test.
- For now the boundaries of the archipelago will be "I know it when I see it"; If someone has a proposal for how to handle stuff in the ocean near the archipelago please post it.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 86% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I ( @EvanDaniel ) am taking over this market from an inactive creator.