PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31, 5%+0.8pt
6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
64 / 100
Orta kalite
24s Hacim
₺284,3 B
Likidite
₺1,6 Mn
Yüksek likidite
Spread
3.3 pt
Orta spread
Comments
24
7g Değişim
+0.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce guncellendi
5 Kas 25 18:161 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
Sonuç24sOlasılık
November 30
0%
December 31
0%
March 31,
0%
June 30,
0%
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US.
For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.