Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
EnflasyonOne-OffMakro ve EkonomiEkonomi3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 65%
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15
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7 Kas 24 22:17 UTC1 Oca 30 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
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Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This question will be resolved based on official U.S. economic data, focusing specifically on annual real GDP growth (adjusted for inflation).
- The question will resolve as “Yes” if real GDP growth for any full calendar year exceeds 5% between the years 2024 and 2029, inclusive.
- Otherwise, it will resolve as “No” if no such year exhibits this level of growth by the end of 2029.
- Specific Criteria
- Data Source:
- • The resolution will use official data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) or another recognized authoritative economic body.
