Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 53.4%
Tahminciler
23
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Eki 25 22:32 UTC8 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the CDU/CSU-SPD coalition government completes its full 4-year term from 2025 to 2029.
- The market resolves NO if the government dissolves before the end of 2029, triggering early elections or a change in the governing coalition through other constitutional means.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the German Federal President or Bundestag regarding the dissolution of parliament or a change in government.
- The 2025 election took place seven months ahead of schedule due to the 2024 collapse of the Scholz governing coalition.
- On 9 April 2025, the CDU/CSU and SPD secured a ruling coalition agreement, and the German parliament elected Friedrich Merz as chancellor on 6 May 2025.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 53% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 8 Aralık 2029.
- Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria