Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 73.1%
Tahminciler
90
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Ağu 23 12:37 UTC1 Oca 30 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketAfD in a German state government in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.
- Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM
- Related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)
Açık piyasalar
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-2.0pt84.2%
- Yes+2.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺44,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.5pt1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt22%
- October 31+1.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.