KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
AfD · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
AfD 82%7 seçenek arasında lider
AfD 82%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$21,5 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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AfDSpread
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Piyasa verileri
22 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Tem 26 16:23 UTC25 Mar 30 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · AfD
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiKurallar
If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bundeswahlausschuss
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Her sonucun kuralı
- AfD
- If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU/CSU
- If CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If SPD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Left
- If The Left wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If BSW wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.