Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
1.0 puan (24s)One-OffForeign Exchange3ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 86%-1.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺620,9 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
4
7g Değişim
+2.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
3 Ara 25 17:17 UTC31 Ara 26 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- For the purposes of this market, the coalition is considered broken if either CDU/CSU or SPD ceases to be a coalition partner in the federal government.
- A coalition break may be evidenced by: – a formal withdrawal from the coalition, – the resignation or dismissal of all ministers from one party, – or the appointment of a new federal government.
- If all ministers affiliated with one of the coalition parties resign or are dismissed, this may signal that party’s withdrawal from the coalition, even if one or more individuals remain in office as independents or continue without representing the party.
- If the coalition breaks and the sitting Chancellor remains in office with a new coalition or as a minority government, this market will still resolve to “Yes.”
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 86% fiyatlıyor.
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.