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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
  2. Foreign Exchange
  3. Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?
Manifold Markets

Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?

Foreign ExchangeYZOne-Off6ay
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKYC yok
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Manifold Markets
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release 0%
7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler

48

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

6 saat önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
27 Mar 26 4:391 Oca 27 5:29

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık
Manifold Markets
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release
0%
Manifold Markets
It will cost at least 3x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 currently does on the API
0%
Manifold Markets
It will cost at least 5x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 does per output token on the API
0%
Manifold Markets
It scores at least 50% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
100%
Manifold Markets
It scores at least 55% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
100%

Seçilen sonuç

It will only be available on the max plan and/or the API7%

Kurallar

https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves NA if no model that appears to be the one mentioned here is released by Anthropic by Jan 1, 2027
  • Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The API/max plan availability answer will resolve 30 days after release
  • All other answers will resolve after the model is released and relevant information is revealed
  • Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Model released" requires the model to be released to the public (not just limited access like Project Glasswing).
  • Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A name like "Claude Mythos 5" (i.e., with a version number appended) would still count as being called "Claude Mythos" on release.

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Kurallar

https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves NA if no model that appears to be the one mentioned here is released by Anthropic by Jan 1, 2027
  • Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The API/max plan availability answer will resolve 30 days after release
  • All other answers will resolve after the model is released and relevant information is revealed
  • Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Model released" requires the model to be released to the public (not just limited access like Project Glasswing).
  • Update 2026-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A name like "Claude Mythos 5" (i.e., with a version number appended) would still count as being called "Claude Mythos" on release.