Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 54%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Mar 26 21:32 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsHow many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Pokemon take action against the Pokenot collectible card project by Dysfunctional Passholder by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if the European AI Office or an EU member state authority publicly announces a formal enforcement action under the EU AI Act (Regulation 2024/1689) against a provider of a General-Purpose AI (GPAI) model with systemic risk (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta, Mistral, xAI).
- Qualifying "formal enforcement actions" must be publicly announced and include any of the following:
- A formal investigation
- A formal Request for Information (RFI)
- A notice of non-compliance or fine
- A binding order to withdraw, modify, or correct an AI system
Açık piyasalar
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-2.0pt84.2%
- Yes+2.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺44,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.5pt1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt22%
- October 31+1.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if the European AI Office or an EU member state authority publicly announces a formal enforcement action under the EU AI Act (Regulation 2024/1689) against a provider of a General-Purpose AI (GPAI) model with systemic risk (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta, Mistral, xAI).