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Hayır 65%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Tem 26 01:51 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
Manifold MarketsThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Polymarket#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PolymarketKurallar
Market title abbreviated for character limit; the full operative title and all binding definitions are in this description.
- Audit Motion 002
- Will at least one frontier AI company publish recurring organizational governance metrics alongside capability benchmarks, in a single document, on or before 31 December 2026?
- Research Thesis
- This prediction tests whether frontier AI governance will evolve from policy disclosure toward performance disclosure.
- Frontier AI companies now routinely publish governance frameworks, responsible scaling policies, and regulatory compliance documents.
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-12.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-19.0pt29%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Market title abbreviated for character limit; the full operative title and all binding definitions are in this description.