Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 88.2%
Tahminciler
40
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Haz 24 00:06 UTC1 Oca 31 07:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
Manifold MarketsMajor earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWe discover that the US had an earthquake-producing weapon by EOY 2030
Manifold Markets9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiKurallar
Major earthquake would involve property damage of over $1B or loss of life over 100.
- Epicenter has to be within 50 miles of San Francisco.
- Loma Prieta quake would not have qualified due to distance.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+1.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-29.5pt48%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027-0.1pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺160,1 B
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Major earthquake would involve property damage of over $1B or loss of life over 100.