Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
CustomBilimJeopolitik2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
9 Haz 2026 02:25 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel topluluk tahminiEvet 90.2%
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
47 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Oca 24 10:5910 Oca 29 4:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes90%
İlgili Piyasalar
Will anyone other than Jeanne Calment reach 120 years of age before 2030?
₺13,8 BEvet: 6.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich of these rockets will reach orbit first?
₺0Nova: 29.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAt least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
₺0Evet: 22.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
₺45China: 50%
KALSHI
KALSHI
TownSquare FDV above ___ one day after launch?
₺6,1 B$150M: 78%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700?
₺5,1 B$4900: 34.6%
MYRIAD
MYRIADBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.NewsKurallar
Bu piyasa icin sonuc kurallari henuz mevcut degil. Kaynak kurallari kaydedildiginde bu bolum sonraki yenilemelerde doldurulacak.