Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 94%
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Ağu 23 07:26 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiKurallar
Resolved based on data from world bank:
- https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=PL
- <=25000 -> resolves NO
- >25000 -> resolves YES
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺98 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺428 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺374,6 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺165 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺284 B
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Recession in 2027?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Will Poland's GDP per capita be greater than 25000 USD by 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolved based on data from world bank: