Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 65%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Eyl 24 22:16 UTC2 Oca 01 02:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026
KalshiUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiKurallar
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.
- Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
- introduction to the idea:
- https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVyurFOgUjM
Açık piyasalar
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,7 Mn
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺171,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+6.0pt95%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,000+1.0pt94%
- Above 0+4.0pt89%
- Above 10,00086%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+4.0pt90.1%
- Yes-4.0pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺95,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺545,8 B
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2201.
- Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.