Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 76.4%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Şub 26 06:13 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ed Miliband becomes Chancellor of the Exchequer at any point before the end of 2029.
- Resolution will be verified through official UK government sources, specifically the GOV.UK Chancellor of the Exchequer page.
- The market resolves NO if Miliband does not hold this position by December 31, 2029.
- Ed Miliband currently serves as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero since July 2024.
- He was Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.
Açık piyasalar
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,5 Mn
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-2.0pt84.2%
- Yes+2.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺44,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.5pt1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt22%
- October 31+1.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria