Veri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
8 Eyl 2026 22:05 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Alice Weidel 15%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
27 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺3 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
9.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Ağu 26 21:00 UTC26 Ağu 29 14:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
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Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiKurallar
If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Der Bundeswahlleiter
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.
- A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, the named outcome resolves YES and every other market resolves NO If new elections are called before a government forms, the named outcome resolves YES immediately
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Alice Weidel için 15% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 26 Ağustos 2029.
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.