Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Alice Weidel · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Alice Weidel 45%6 seçenek arasında lider
Alice Weidel 45%Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$2,7 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Alice WeidelSpread
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Piyasa verileri
59 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli24 Ağu 26 21:00 UTC26 Ağu 29 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Alice Weidel
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?
FutuurWill a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Alice Weidel becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Der Bundeswahlleiter
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity. A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO If new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Alice Weidel
- If Alice Weidel becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Friedrich Merz
- If Friedrich Merz becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Felix Banaszak
- If Felix Banaszak becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No one
- If No one becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lars Klingbeil
- If Lars Klingbeil becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Baerbel Bas
- If Baerbel Bas becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.