Will cyberattacks cause a major societal disruption before 2027-07?
FedOne-OffHisse SenetleriJeopolitikMerkez BankalarıToplum ve KültürTeknolojiSuç ve Adalet8ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 51%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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10 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Eki 26 12:52 UTC30 Haz 27 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if cyberattacks starting before July 1, 2027 cause any of the following:
- A massive outage.
- Reuters, AP, BBC, Bloomberg, or the Financial Times report that the attacks cut off a combined total of at least 100 million people from the internet or from widely used online services for 72 hours or more.
- A national emergency.
- The government of a G7 country (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, or the US) declares a national emergency in response to disruption caused by the attacks.
- Standing declarations that just authorize sanctions or other general measures against cyber threats don’t count.
