Will Brandon Sanderson be credibly accused of sex crimes by 2030?
One-OffSuç ve AdaletToplum ve Kültür1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.3%
Tahminciler
16
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Oca 25 15:00 UTC2 Oca 28 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will I be credibly accused of sexual assault or sexual harassment before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a film or TV show based on a book by Brandon Sanderson release before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Manifold MarketsWho will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione attempt suicide at least once while in custody before his trial is over?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This has a subjective resolution, but I consider "credibly" to require a respected news source to publish an article about them.
- Similar to the Vulture article that recently came out above Neil Gaiman.
