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Hayır 59%
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10
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binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
35 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Ara 24 22:42 UTC1 Oca 40 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040?
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Manifold MarketsIn what year will Al take 50% of human jobs?
Manifold MarketsWill Al take 50% of human jobs before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution Criteria:
- The question will resolve to YES if at least one of the following occurs:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 50% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 50% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- In this context the LFPR should fall to 31.3% or lower.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
