Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
3 Haz 2026 23:43 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel topluluk tahminiHigher than R+10.0 1.8%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
39 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Oca 26 5:333 Kas 26 4:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Higher than R+10.02%
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What will the generic ballot be on election day 2026, per Silver Bulletin/Nate Silver?
- [image]As of 2025-01-22, the current result would be D+5.3.
- Resolves based on https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls as of 00:00 Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, or preferably a specific number reported by Silver Bulletin as the election day generic ballot.
- Based on the "Net Support" metric.