2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolitikaSeçimUS Politics1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkDemocrats, 8 to 10% 22.3%10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
77 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺152,3 B
Likidite
₺23 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
12 dakika önce guncellendi
4 Şub 26 15:003 Kas 27 13:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Democrats, 8 to 10%25%
Platformları karşılaştır· Democrats, 8 to 10%
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Yüksek | 25% | — | ₺152,3 B | ₺23 Mn | 12 dakika önce | |
 PredictIt%87 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 25% | — | — | — | 12 dakika önce | Aç → |
PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
8ay
25%
25%
0%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITKurallar
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.