2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
0.1 puan (24s)One-OffPolitikaSeçimUS Politics1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Democrats, 8 to 10% 23.6%10 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
82 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺183,4 B
Likidite
₺56,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.5 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Şub 26 15:00 UTC3 Kas 27 13:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the Clerk of the House
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
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Sık sorulan sorular
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democrats, 8 to 10% için 24% fiyatlıyor.
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: PredictIt.