Generic congressional ballot on election day 2026? (More buckets)
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri7g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 07:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiD +9.0 to +9.9 28.9%12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Eki 26 19:50 UTC1 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
As of Market creation, October 11, the generic ballot is D+9.1
- Resolves based on https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls as of 00:00 Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, or preferably a specific number reported by Silver Bulletin as the election day generic ballot.
- Based on the "Net Support" metric.
- [link preview]
