Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 56.2%
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32
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Eki 22 04:59 UTC1 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiWill Duke University rank first overall in 2027?
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Bu piyasa için sonuç kuralları henüz mevcut değil. Kaynak kuralları kaydedildiğinde bu bölüm sonraki yenilemelerde doldurulacak.
Açık piyasalar
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.7pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.8pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15,2 Mn
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.4pt77%
- No23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺68 B
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+2.0pt34%
- Above 1+4.0pt18%
- Above 2-2.0pt4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
- US solar capacity installed in 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Was mathematics created (YES) or discovered (NO)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Was mathematics created (YES) or discovered (NO)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Was mathematics created (YES) or discovered (NO)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.