Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94.3%
Tahminciler
30
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Şub 25 05:59 UTC2 Oca 29 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029
Manifold MarketsWill there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketHighest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
FutuurWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between US and Canadian armed forces before January 1, 2029.
- This includes any exchange of fire, military strikes, or invasion attempts between the two nations' official military forces.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from either government or credible media reports from Reuters or Associated Press.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+10.0pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice+0.8pt6%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2029.
- US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between US and Canadian armed forces before January 1, 2029.