Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?
JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle East3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 70.5%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Nis 26 08:53 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketKurallar
Will a major new armed conflict break out in the Horn of Africa — involving any combination of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, or Somalia — before January 1, 2028?”
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is a sustained armed conflict between the national armed forces of Ethiopia and Eritrea at any point between the market's creation and 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- "Sustained armed conflict" is defined as an ongoing engagement involving significant, coordinated military operations between the state forces of Ethiopia and Eritrea, lasting for at least seven consecutive days or involving more than 100 combat-related fatalities.
- Resolution will be based on credible, consensus reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC) and official statements from international monitoring bodies (e.g., the United Nations or African Union).
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will a major new armed conflict break out in the Horn of Africa — involving any combination of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, or Somalia — before January 1, 2028?”