US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029 için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 87.5% fiyatlıyor.

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2029.

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26 Eki 2026 07:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 87.5%

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47 dakika önce güncellendi

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4 Oca 25 19:50 UTC21 Oca 29 00:00 UTC

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This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between the armed forces of the United States and Mexico before January 20, 2029.

Resolution criteria:
Must involve official government forces (ex. uniformed military, national guard, or police acting in an official capacity, not private militias or individuals)
Must include exchange of fire or direct combat operations
Must result in the creation of a wikipedia page, with a table indicating at least 10 total casualties or losses and with the USA and Mexico as belligerents on opposing sides, and that page must remain up for at least a week.
(ex. this page)