Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 63.4%
Tahminciler
155
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Oca 26 08:00 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsCredible evidence of pre-arranged local support for Venezuela regime change (news media 2026)
Manifold MarketsIran a liberal democracy in 2032, conditional on regime change in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is a change in the fundamental structure of Cuba's political system by December 31, 2030.
- Regime change is defined as the replacement of the current one-party communist system with a different form of government, whether through democratic transition, internal power restructuring, or other means.
- The resolution will be determined by credible international news sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, AFP) reporting a change in the constitutional framework, the legal status of the Communist Party's monopoly on power, or the establishment of a functioning multi-party system.
- If the Communist Party remains the sole legal party and the current constitutional structure remains intact, the market resolves NO.