Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 84.8%
Tahminciler
7
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Haz 25 15:14 UTC31 Ara 32 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Manifold MarketsCapitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030
Manifold MarketsConditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2032, Iran is recognized as a liberal democracy.
- If there is no regime change before 2027, resolves N/A. Resolution will be based on the Freedom House classification, and Free or Partially Free both count.
- If the classification changes or is not published, I will choose a similar report.
