Trump seçilirse, ABD görev süresi sonunda hâlâ liberal bir demokrasi olacak mı? (V-DEM)
One-OffPolitikaABD SiyasetiSeçimJeopolitik2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 88%
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210
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binary
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Tahmin
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2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Şub 24 21:36 UTC21 Oca 29 22:59 UTC
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This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
- https://v-dem.net/
- If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
- Companion question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)
