Trump seçilirse, ABD görev süresi sonunda hâlâ liberal bir demokrasi olacak mı? (V-DEM)
One-OffPolitikaUS PoliticsSeçimJeopolitik2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 88%
Tahminciler
210
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Şub 24 21:36 UTC21 Oca 29 22:59 UTC
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This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
- https://v-dem.net/
- If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
- Companion question:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)
