MyriadKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokSınırlı doğrulanmış veriBu piyasa sonuçlandı: No (97.5%)
Sınırlı sonuç kanıtı
CoinRithm kayıtlı sonucu gösterebilir, ancak her sonuçlanma alanı sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış değildir.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
2 Eki 2026 12:46 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes2.5%
No97.5%
Kazandı
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.