PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 99%+0.3pt
Piyasa kalitesi
88 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺2 Mn
Likidite
₺12 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
1.4% / 1.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadComments
0
7g Değişim
-0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce guncellendi
29 Haz 26 23:5330 Eyl 26 0:00
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
CoinRithm referansı 1% · 2 platform · 3 puan bant